Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000574 0.000655 0.000741 0.000838 0.000946 0.001061 0.001192
2025-10-26 0.000444 0.000555 0.000680 0.000832 0.001010 0.001211 0.001453
2025-11-02 0.000380 0.000504 0.000652 0.000838 0.001065 0.001331 0.001662
2025-11-09 0.000328 0.000459 0.000623 0.000837 0.001107 0.001431 0.001847
2025-11-16 0.000276 0.000409 0.000580 0.000811 0.001112 0.001483 0.001970
2025-11-23 0.000237 0.000369 0.000545 0.000792 0.001120 0.001536 0.002094
2025-11-30 0.000210 0.000343 0.000525 0.000788 0.001146 0.001610 0.002243
2025-12-07 0.000188 0.000320 0.000508 0.000786 0.001173 0.001684 0.002394
2025-12-14 0.000166 0.000296 0.000486 0.000775 0.001187 0.001740 0.002520
2025-12-21 0.000147 0.000273 0.000464 0.000761 0.001194 0.001786 0.002633
2025-12-28 0.000138 0.000266 0.000465 0.000781 0.001249 0.001897 0.002837
2026-01-04 0.000128 0.000256 0.000461 0.000792 0.001291 0.001992 0.003020
2026-01-11 0.000115 0.000240 0.000445 0.000785 0.001307 0.002051 0.003157
2026-01-18 0.000102 0.000224 0.000429 0.000777 0.001321 0.002107 0.003290
2026-01-25 0.000094 0.000215 0.000423 0.000783 0.001356 0.002194 0.003468
2026-02-01 0.000086 0.000203 0.000413 0.000782 0.001379 0.002263 0.003623
2026-02-08 0.000075 0.000186 0.000390 0.000757 0.001364 0.002276 0.003695
2026-02-15 0.000065 0.000171 0.000371 0.000739 0.001357 0.002300 0.003783
2026-02-22 0.000059 0.000161 0.000361 0.000735 0.001373 0.002358 0.003922
2026-03-01 0.000054 0.000153 0.000352 0.000733 0.001392 0.002420 0.004069
2026-03-08 0.000048 0.000143 0.000339 0.000723 0.001397 0.002461 0.004183
2026-03-15 0.000043 0.000133 0.000326 0.000710 0.001395 0.002491 0.004282
2026-03-22 0.000041 0.000132 0.000329 0.000729 0.001449 0.002609 0.004517